Kinzua Creek at Guffey, PA
USGS gauge 03011800 · drainage 39 sq mi · observed Oct 16, 8:00 PM EDT · 51 min old
Last 7 days Live gauge
Source: USGS Water Data API (continuous values), observed to Oct 16, 8:00 PM EDT. Shaded band: 25th to 75th percentile of USGS daily statistics for each date; dashed: median. Flow in cfs.
Daily mean flow Live gauge
| Date (gauge-local) | Mean flow | Note |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 22 cfs | |
| Oct 15, 2026 | 16 cfs | |
| Oct 14, 2026 | 17 cfs | |
| Oct 13, 2026 | 18 cfs | |
| Oct 12, 2026 | 19 cfs | |
| Oct 11, 2026 | 17 cfs | |
| Oct 10, 2026 | 17 cfs | |
| Oct 9, 2026 | 18 cfs | |
| Oct 8, 2026 | – | Partial day |
Source: USGS Water Data API (continuous values); each mean uses readings on that gauge-local date, shown only with at least 80% of expected readings.
The same 50 days in earlier years Historical record
━ 2026 ╌ 2025 ╌ 2024 ╌ 2023
| Year | Mean flow | Highest day |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 51 cfs | 233 cfs |
| 2025 | 6.5 cfs | 16 cfs |
| 2024 | 33 cfs | 150 cfs |
| 2023 | 15 cfs | 34 cfs |
Source: USGS daily mean flows (Water Data API). Each line is the 50 days from Aug 27 to Oct 15, shifted to the same calendar dates in earlier years; gaps are days without a published value. Recent days are provisional.
Compared with this gauge’s record Historical record
| Measure | Value | When or rank |
|---|---|---|
| Peak daily flow, last 7 days | 19 cfs | Oct 12, 2026 |
| Last time daily flow was this high or higher | 27 cfs | Oct 2, 2026 (10 days earlier) |
| Last day above the 90th percentile for its date, before this peak | Sep 17, 2026 | 25 days earlier |
| Days above the 75th percentile for their date | 9 of 29 | last 29 days |
| October 1 to 15, mean flow | 21 cfs | rank 36 highest of 62 years |
Source: USGS daily mean flows (Water Data API), 1965 to 2026 (22,294 days), data through Oct 15, 2026, computed 2026-10-17; method record-v1. Percentiles are USGS daily statistics. Recent days are provisional.
Largest annual peaks Historical record
Ten largest peaks of record
| Date | Peak flow | Gage height at peak |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 22, 1972 | 5,220 cfs | 8.99 ft |
| Sep 28, 1967 | 4,110 cfs | 8.33 ft |
| Jun 20, 1989 | 3,400 cfs | 7.76 ft |
| Dec 1, 2010 | 3,400 cfs | 7.81 ft |
| Jun 18, 1984 | 3,070 cfs | 7.47 ft |
| Jan 19, 1996 | 2,960 cfs | 7.92 ft |
| Jun 14, 1994 | 2,920 cfs | 7.76 ft |
| Aug 15, 1980 | 2,880 cfs | 7.28 ft |
| Jan 12, 2017 | 2,260 cfs | 7.06 ft |
| Mar 15, 2007 | 2,210 cfs | 6.81 ft |
Five most recent annual peaks
| Date | Peak flow | Gage height at peak |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2024 | 961 cfs | 5.47 ft |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 684 cfs | 4.98 ft |
| Feb 18, 2022 | 1,470 cfs | 6.61 ft |
| Dec 25, 2020 | 768 cfs | 5.14 ft |
| Nov 1, 2019 | 757 cfs | 5.12 ft |
Source: USGS annual peak streamflow (Water Data API), 59 annual peaks, 1966 to 2024. A water year's peak is its highest instantaneous flow.
Historic crests Official NWS
| Date | Crest stage | Flow |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 21, 1972 | 8.99 ft | 5,220 cfs |
Source: National Weather Service forecast point GUFP1 (Kinzua Creek above Guffey), historic crests as published by the NWS; the NWS may have recorded them on an older gauge datum.
Sources and method
- Data: U.S. Geological Survey. Terms
- River forecasts and flood stages: National Weather Service. National Water Model guidance: NOAA.. Terms
USGS daily statistics, downloaded 2026-10-12
Percentile method: trailing 24 h mean vs USGS daily percentiles for calendar date 10-16.
Percentile is estimated from USGS published daily percentiles. Readings are provisional until USGS reviews them. Not endorsed by USGS, NOAA or the National Weather Service. Not for navigation or safety-of-life decisions; the absence of an alert is not a statement that conditions are safe.